Today African Union mission arrived for Tripoli talks[1]; this step has all possibilities to become a crucial point in Libyan conflict. “An African Union mission has arrived in Libya to try to negotiate a ceasefire between rebel forces and those loyal to Col Muammar Gaddafi.
South African President Jacob Zuma and three other leaders had earlier left Mauritania to fly to the Libyan capital, Tripoli. The team will also visit rebel representatives in Benghazi. Fierce fighting is continuing in Ajdabiya in eastern Libya, with Col Gaddafi's forces pushing back rebels.”[2] The mission from these African countries can meet some troubles during negotiations, as was told earlier: “Libyan rebels say they have signed an oil contract with Qatar to export oil from rebel-held territory.”[3] This is the step that can help to legitimate the rebel’s regime in international level; and, of course, to promote dividing country.
One more important statement that was early today:
“A top US general maintained Thursday it was unlikely that Libyan rebel forces could oust Gadhafi, saying the conflict appeared to be turning into a stalemate.
General Carter Ham, who led the first stage of the coalition air campaign in Libya, said the international bombing raids had succeeded in protecting civilians for the most part but that Gadhafi's regime probably would not be removed by military means”.
“Asked at a Senate hearing about the chances that the opposition could "fight their way" to Tripoli and replace Gadhafi, Ham said: "Sir, I would assess that as a low likelihood."
And when pressed by Senator John McCain whether the situation was an "emerging stalemate," Ham said: "Senator, I would agree with that at present on the ground."
His comments underscored growing concern in Washington and European capitals that the fight in Libya could be deadlocked, with Gadhafi firmly in control in Tripoli and badly-organized rebels unable to turn the tide even under the cover of NATO-led air power. [4]”
So, in this ‘emerging stalemate’ situation the African Union mission can be one of the ‘success’ way to resolve this crisis.
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